Daily Forex Analysis and Predictions for Feb 26, 2010

sepiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

banyak yang liburrr… termasuk saya huehuehue..

lagipula postingan banyak yang masuk di tanggal kemarin krn tadi GS telat membuka thread tgl 26nya

hallo GS.
signal #2 yg saya ikutin di twitter kq beberapa hari ini jelek ya?..

kalo boleh tau, entrynya pake robot apa manual?

berarti pake robot ya pak?…robot yg dibagikan GS bukan?…saya agak bingung nyetting robotnya, soalnya gak tau bagaimana sebenernya robot itu bekerja. kalo boleh, minta settingan robotnya pak.

Udah kepalang floating loss dari semalam.
Kalau saya pasang TP di 1.5340 (paling mepet)apa masih relevan untuk hari ini?
Kirain GS juga liburan .

Adakah yang mau memberikan pendapat, GU masih mungkin naik lagi atau bablas terjun, sekedar untuk mensupport saya aja, mau bertahan buy atau lebih baik cutloss. Oke boss?

miwon abah saya juga lagi keploting nih tadi pagi di gu sell 1.5261 tp 1.5200 sl 1.5343

Wo ala nggeeeer, dasar nekat.
Dah kadung yo wis, tunggu arus balik aja nanti sore heu heu
Sing sabar yo ngger.

secara teknikal mungkin masih bisa abah krn H1 ema 5/8 cross 18/28 dan diconfirm CCI(20) dan RVI(100), kalo saya biasanya TP diturunin di 5-10pips dari target (middle R1 atau R1) aja agar lebih safe…

Okelah kalau beg . . . beg . . beg . . gitu.
uh, sedikit ayem. Makasih ya sayaaaaang . . .

terima kasih bung dewa, tuh abah rada tingtrim sekarang mah aya confirmasi secara teknikal na tah.

Ampun Gusti anu Agung!!!

Alkhamdulilla cep narco geus mulai panen euy . . . .
Tenang dah ada modal untuk mondar mandir di Cibaduyut . .
Selamet nyaaaak,

wilujeng abah selamat jalan2 liburan panjang yeuh

GU H4:
CCI(20)sudah mendongak ke atas, RVI(100) sudah cross ke atas, maka kemungkinan GU akan tes 1.5340, atau lebih jauh lagi ke R1 1.5393. Dan kemudian akan meneruskan downtrendnya…

curent price: 1.5286

semua bisa terjadi di jumat keramat he he… Gudlaq

sore Rekan Trader,,
agaknya susah juga untuk analisa hari ini.
tapi saya OP pake mini acc sell EU di 1.3576 TP 1.3526
Mohon di analisa kembali sebelum OP
SUKSES !!!

sell juga deh EU nya,..soalnya GS #2 ada open buy :))

Kmungkinan msh bs naik k 1.3581/82.
Setelah itu akan turun sesuai prediksi Bung Panjul.
Salam Sukses.

Rekan2 yg mempergunakan Robot GS ,sabar ya saya jarang muncul ,lagi coba software baru dan settingan robot,Insya Allah bulan depan saya berikan suggest pagi jam 7,siang jam 13 dan malam jam 19an,kita main di 3pair GU,EU dan CHF ,nanti saya beritahu pair mana yg sedang”on fire” ,seperti siang ini riskan di GU,yg lagi “maen”EU dan CHF ,nanti martingale nya di set 5pips dibawah SL,doakan lancar semua,juga untuk “Guru”saya ucapkan terima kasih banyak,semoga diberi kesehatan selalu,heuheuheu

ditunggu kang Beben… Sukses…

Alhamdulillah…. makasih kang beben. Murid siap mendonlod ilmu robotnya.
Semoga kang beben selalu diberi kesehatan dan umur panjaaaaang.. dan tahan lama … Amin.
Minta doanya juga biar otak ini bisa mencerna ilmunya… he he

siip lah kang beben diantos pisan ah

di tunggu suggestnya pak, semoga sukses… Amiin.

Siiipppp… Semoga lancar Kang Beben, dan bisa ngajarin kita2 yang newbie ini…. Nuhun Kang

sore bung beben,bung saya mau coba robot gs,tapi masih bingung dg setting parameternya,mohon d bantu bung Beben,
setting parameter yg tepat menurut bung beben,oya kalo bole tau bung beben lagi coba software apa?
thx

saya bantu dikit ya pak, kasian kang beben kalo harus selalu menjawab pertanyaan yang sama berulang-ulang he he….

beben Reply:
November 27th, 2009 at 2:48 pm
first ordernya apa?jangan auto dia mikir2dulu cari momentum ,sudah aja first order manual,lot awalnya 50000:1 mis punya dana nya usd 1000 lotnya 1000/50000=0,02Lot

beben Reply:
November 27th, 2009 at 5:55 pm
first ordernya-manual,khan robotnya jalan tuh,trus kita pending order mis saat ini saya Pending order buy di 1.6422,sekarang sudah kena,jangan lupa smart protection-True ,tunggu aja nanti sudah profit berhenti sendiri
============
buat kang beben ada pertanyaan ni. kalo nentuin OP di pivot nunggu harga mendekat dgn garis pivot ya baru OP buy/sell? terus kalau harga sdh menjauhi pivot maksimal skitar brapa point msh bisa OP ?. selamat menjawab…!

beben Reply:
December 4th, 2009 at 10:23 am
maks +/- 20pips,heuheuheu

beben Reply:
December 4th, 2009 at 5:19 pm
Robot yaa? ,gini aja yg dibawah garis SELL,yang diatas garis BUY biar mudah dimengerti”Robot”teh “ngejegang”diantara garis2 pivot heuheuheu
==============

Nah untuk selanjutnya silakan search comment2 kang beben sendiri ya…

salam kenal bos , saya mau tanya berita2 kemarin kok pada kebalik pengaruh apaon sih bos?

GBP/USD: Buy 1.5275 TP: 1.5320

USD_JPY Sell 90.61 NotConfirmed
AUD_USD Buy 0.8881 NotConfirmed
USD_CHF Buy 1.0772 Confirmed
GBP_USD Sell 1.5442 NotConfirmed
USD_CHF Buy 1.0774 Confirmed
AUD_NZD Buy 1.2848 Confirmed
AUD_JPY Sell 81.18 NotConfirmed
AUD_CAD Buy 0.9363 NotConfirmed
USD_JPY Sell 90.46 NotConfirmed
NZD_USD Sell 0.6964 NotConfirmed
USD_CHF Buy 1.0774 Confirmed
AUD_CAD Buy 0.9374 NotConfirmed
EUR_CAD Buy 1.4247 NotConfirmed
CHF_JPY Sell 83.81 NotConfirmed
GBP_CHF Sell 1.6647 NotConfirmed
EUR_CHF Sell 1.4657 NotConfirmed
AUD_CAD Buy 0.9368 NotConfirmed
USD_JPY Sell 90.52 NotConfirmed
GBP_USD Sell 1.5415 NotConfirmed
USD_CHF Buy 1.0758 NotConfirmed
EUR_AUD Sell 1.5295 NotConfirmed
GBP_AUD Sell 1.7307 NotConfirmed
NZD_USD Sell 0.6983 NotConfirmed
NZD_JPY Sell 63.04 NotConfirmed
GBP_CAD Sell 1.627 NotConfirmed
GBP_CHF Sell 1.6605 NotConfirmed
USD_JPY Sell 90.57 NotConfirmed
AUD_USD Sell 0.899 NotConfirmed
USD_CHF Buy 1.0741 NotConfirmed
USD_JPY Sell 90.57 NotConfirmed
GBP_JPY Sell 139.39 NotConfirmed
AUD_NZD Buy 1.2812 NotConfirmed

smelekete .. maksute opoooo iki …

bisikan setan…

seperti ramalan togel yo

Selamat mlm sumer,mintak pandangan dari para trader,adakah
GU akan terus menurun ? tk

kapan sudah dibilang dari dulu-dulu GU akan menuju 1.52

ada berita pukul 20.30 WIB…sudah saatnya robot in action!

well karena sudah terbukti GU mencapau 1.52, maka saya akan cari bocoran lagi selanjutnya apakah akan rebound atau terus untuk trading minggu depan. Tujuannya untuk tahu trend GU apa, sehingga traddingnya lebih PD. Khusus pengguna robot TREND dipaiai untuk the last OPEN atau open penutup jika analisa kita salah. ok sampai jumpa minggu depan….lama-lama gampang juga yah trade…wah siap-siap nih invest usd.100 rb

Highlights
Risk sentiment may take a plunge
Ominous US data point to uneven recovery
MPC unlikely to provide support for sterling any time soon
UK data could stay gloomy
Waiting for a UK election date
Greece issue will run and run
Key data and events to watch next week
Risk sentiment may take a plunge

The global recovery trade (aka the reflation trade) took a serious stumble this past week as a spate of disappointing US data suggested the US recovery is in greater jeopardy than previously thought. As the largest national economy, the US setbacks undermine the global outlook, which was already under pressure as China moved to restrict lending and stimulus programs wind down in other major economies. We think market positioning is still heavily biased toward risk being “on” (investors holding long positions in stocks, commodities, and long JPY-crosses, like AUD/JPY and CAD/JPY based on a positive growth outlook), so the risk is quite high that a position-driven exodus out of those risk assets sends them sharply lower in coming weeks. For the time being, recent range/psychological lows have held in many key markets (e.g. Gold 1090/95, EUR/JPY 120, EUR/USD 1.3450/3500, and USD/JPY 88.50). We would also note that the major US stock indexes tested the base of the daily Ichimoku cloud, and a daily close below could trigger a much sharper decline. Until those key supports break, we still have the potential to sell riskier assets at higher levels and our focus will be on using corrective bounces as selling opportunities.

For the EUR in particular, a short squeeze higher (those who sold EUR/USD are forced to buy back higher) seems especially likely in the short-term. Sentiment on the European single currency is universally bearish and positioning reflects that. Recent news that Germany’s KfW Bank (the state-owned reconstruction bank) would be a last ditch buyer of Greek debt in an emergency suggests official support will extend beyond rhetoric, reducing the chances of a debt default. As well, the EUR is likely being seen as potentially under speculative assault by the ECB and other EU institutions, raising the prospect of verbal/actual intervention. Meanwhile, the 1.3450/3500 level has held on several tests in recent weeks, potentially setting up a short-term reversal higher as speculative shorts cover or get squeezed out. We still hope for the opportunity to re-sell EUR/USD somewhere in the 1.3850/3950 area in coming weeks.

USD/JPY continues to follow US Treasury yields, which topped out at recent range highs at 3.80/85% in the 10 year, and moved lower on Bernanke’s pledge to keep rates low for an extended period of time, along with the slew of disappointing US data. USD/JPY has closed the week below its daily Ichimoku cloud (base at 89.30) and the bias remains lower while below that price. However, the market is rife with talk of semi-official Japanese buying interest in USD/JPY at the 88.50/80 area, and this may limit the decline. This sets up the prospect that if the JPY-crosses are to move lower on risky asset selling, the bulk of the declines may occur in the non-JPY dollar pairs, like AUD/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD. Should USD/JPY see below 88.50, a sharper decline to the 85.00/50 area may be unfolding.
Ominous US data point to uneven recovery

The US economic data this week dealt a major blow to expectations of a speedy economic recovery and suggests that, if anything, the rebound will be quite uneven and very bumpy. Contemporaneous reports such as consumer confidence, durable goods, new/existing home sales, and jobless claims were all ominous and not at all constructive for the outlook going forward.

The consumer confidence metric for the month of February sank to 46.0 from 56.5 the prior month. The breadth of the report was extremely poor as both the current and expectations components declined sharply. Moreover, the labor differential which measures jobs plentiful minus jobs hard to get plunged to -44.1 from -42.1 previously. This coupled with the squeeze higher in jobless claims to 496K from 474K suggests that perhaps the drop in the unemployment rate in January to 9.7% from 10.0% could have been a statistical anomaly and that we could be heading back to a double-digit jobless rate in the near-term.

If the problems on the consumer front weren’t enough to concern the growth bulls, they got plenty of bad news from the housing and capital spending spaces as well. New and existing home sales plummeted in January by -8.5% and -7.2%, respectively. Indeed, the annual rate of new home sales fell to a record low 309K and this number isn’t even adjusted for population growth. The declines come in the face of still artificially depressed mortgage rates (Fed MBS buying the culprit) and despite the new homebuyer tax credit which benefits even more folks than the initial first-time buyer only plan did. The Fed’s MBS purchases are set to end in late March and this is expected to elicit a squeeze higher in mortgage rates. If the housing data look ugly now, watch out if rates shoot up 50-100 basis points. If you expect the stimulus to offset rate increases, our advice would be to not hold your breath.

On the capital expenditure front, the durable goods report this week sent shockwaves through the economic models forecasting 1Q GDP. While the headline printed a robust 3.0% monthly gain, the details painted a very different picture. The core number that feeds into GDP (non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft) sank -2.9% on the month in the largest decline since April 2009. This is a horrendous hand-off for 1Q and points to much lower growth than what the consensus currently anticipates.

While the US data have looked bleak, their impact on the US dollar has been marginal if non-existent. The buck is practically unchanged on the week in broad (trade-weighted) terms. This is due to the fact that the US dollar is still viewed as a safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty. Certainly we would not expect the global investment community to park their money in Euros at a time when the peripheral Eurozone economies face daunting debt problems.

The flight to USD-denominated assets was clear in the very well received US Treasury auctions. Bid/cover ratios were extremely constructive in all three auctions this week and it is thus no surprise that the yield on the most widely traded maturity (the US 10-year note) sank about -20 basis points on the week – denoting higher prices. Furthermore any slowdown in the US economy is likely to trickle through to the rest of the globe and put further pressure on those markets. Bottom line, weaker US data will not necessarily prove to be a net negative for the greenback, with the exception being against the JPY.
MPC unlikely to provide support for sterling any time soon

The March Bank of England meeting was never meant to be very exciting. The February meeting, due to its coincident timing with the Quarterly Inflation Report was the meeting that promised to bring the decision as to whether or not quantitative easing would be extended or not. In the event QE was paused, and since the meeting various BoE officials have fallen over themselves to drive home the point that a pause means a pause and the door to QE is still open. This makes the March (and April) MPC meetings a little more interesting. It is still likely that any major decisions with respect to QE will coincide with Quarterly Inflation Reports given the new information that these afford the MPC. However, a discussion on the topic by the MPC is possible in March and April. Given the dovish views presented by Governor King and other MPC members during the week and a run of mostly weak data for January it seems unlikely that cable will find much support from the Bank any time soon.
UK data could stay gloomy

The headline revision to UK Q4 GDP was better than expected at +0.3% q/q but the breakdown showed that this was largely due to government spending which rose 1.2% q/q. Insofar as fiscal stimulus is set to go into reverse this year, the strength of this component underpins the question over whether the recovery can yet sustain itself. Clearly the risk of double dip recession has not yet been fully averted. Even with the support of government spending, Q4 consumer spending rose a moderate +0.4% q/q in Q4, investment fell a worrying 3.1% q/q. These data highlight the ongoing argument over the risk of a double dip recession in the UK if too much austerity is introduced after the general election and the opposing view that a potential funding crisis could result if no austerity is announced. The week ahead may bring an improved picture; but the market is expecting only a modest uptick in UK Feb PMI services and a slight contraction in PMI manufacturing, while M4 is likely to continue hinting at the weakness of the real economy.
Waiting for a UK election date

General election jitters are rising in the UK. Rumours have been suggesting that an announcement regarding the date may be imminent. May the 6 is currently favoured though there has been talk that the PM may be inclined to go for an earlier date to capture Labour’s improved performance in the opinion polls. Given that polls are still highlighting the likelihood of a hung parliament, sterling is likely to trade poorly into the election. We continue to view upticks in cable as sterling selling opportunities. A break below GBP/USD1.4855 may see down towards USD1.4680.
Greece issue will run and run

It is difficult to imagine that Greece has anything up its sleeve that could alleviate market scepticism. Insofar as structural reform can take years to bear fruit, Greece is going to struggle to keep its budget in line for years. While the EU may eventually come up with a scheme that tides Greece over and keeps EMU intact, the market will be well aware of the budgetary cracks that exist. Until there is solid progress on budget reform in certain EMU members the EUR could stay under pressure. The planned 10 yr Greek issuance, if it goes ahead soon, will be an interesting litmus test. Like the previous sale it may go better than expected and bring some short-term comfort. However, there is no getting away from the fact that the elevated yields needed to attract investors is also adding to the pressures on the budget. The long-term average of EUR/USD is 1.18, so at current levels the EUR is still a strong currency. The EUR is currently looking oversold and this may force a corrective move higher. That said this would present fresh EUR selling opportunities. EUR/USD may fall towards USD1.20/1.18 in a 6 mth view, with the possibility that it could then see lower.

makasih master… saya tunggu bocorannya juga… 🙂

Intinya bener kata seorang master JANGAN MELAWAN TREND!

Long Term Trading ( sampai minggu depan )
CHFJPY Buy 82.82 TP 83.90
Buy EJ 121.25 TP 122.90
SELL AUDUSD 0.8950 TP 0.8766
yang masih ke floting minus pair EU jangan panik EU masih berpotensi turun di bawah 1.35xx
SUKSES !!!

Jul, itu kok prediksi EJ dan AUDUSD berlawanan, apa nggak salah?

Pagi semua…
GS terlambat lg ya?

Buy GU 1.5140 TP 1.5200 SL 1.5040

Muantap prediksinya, Mas.
Ditunggu selanjutnya

Matur nuwun…